Ciryl Gane 13 UFC fights
Josh Hokit 4 UFC fights
Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit prediction
UFC 334 · Sunday, November 15, 2026. Our model gives Ciryl Gane a 60% chance to win.
Breakdown
Gane brings the cleaner, longer game. He lands 5.24 significant strikes a minute and absorbs only 2.38, with 61% accuracy and 61% defence, and he has a 5-inch reach edge (81 to 73) and 3 inches of height. Hokit is the volume brawler: 7.95 landed a minute, but he also absorbs 5.18 and defends only 49%. He is the bigger knockdown threat (1.08 per 15 minutes to Gane's 0.32) and the more active wrestler, with 1.43 takedowns per 15 and 26% control time. Gane has never been knocked out, though he has been submitted once. Hokit has only four UFC fights, so his numbers are a small sample.
Our model likes Gane at 60%, mainly because of the gap in striking differential, his experience across 13 UFC fights, and his Elo edge (1696 to 1613). Hokit's defensive leaks and shorter reach are the main reasons he is the underdog. The market is more confident at 67%, a 7-point gap that is within normal range, so we don't see real disagreement. Hokit's youth (29 vs. 36.6) and his four-fight win streak keep our number lower than the market's, as the model is cautious about how much to trust his small UFC sample.
Key question: can Hokit close the distance and force wrestling exchanges, or does Gane keep him at range and pick him apart?
Written by AI from the numbers below; it has no access to news or injuries.
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Tale of the tape (UFC fights only)
| Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit | |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record | 11-2 | 4-0 |
| Rating (Elo) | 1696 | 1613 |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 5.24 | 7.96 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 2.38 | 5.18 |
| Striking accuracy | 61% | 62% |
| Striking defence | 61% | 49% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 0.71 | 1.43 |
| Takedown defence | 54% | 71% |
| Submission attempts / 15 min | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| Knockdowns / 15 min | 0.32 | 1.08 |
| Finish rate | 50% | 58% |
| Streak | W3 | W4 |
| Days since last fight | 154 | 154 |
| Age | 37 | 29 |
| Height | 6'4" | 6'1" |
| Reach | 81" | 73" |
Rates for fighters with few UFC fights are blended toward league averages. The pick is logged with a timestamp before the event and graded on the track record, win or lose.