Kevin Holland 28 UFC fights
Uros Medic 11 UFC fights
Kevin Holland vs Uros Medic prediction
UFC 334 · Sunday, November 15, 2026. Our model gives Uros Medic a 57% chance to win.
Breakdown
This is a striking matchup between a long, experienced Holland and a more accurate, harder-hitting Medic. Holland has a 10-inch reach edge (81 inches to 71) and 2 inches of height, and he has 28 UFC fights behind him. Both men land at a similar volume, 4.53 strikes a minute for Holland and 4.79 for Medic, but Medic lands at 56% accuracy to Holland's 48% and defends slightly better, 56% to 50%. Neither is a real wrestling threat. Takedown rates are low on both sides, and both defend takedowns at roughly 58-59%, so this likely stays standing. The finishing gap is notable: Medic scores 2.43 knockdowns per 15 minutes and finishes 65% of his wins, while Holland's knockdown rate is 0.34.
Our model leans Medic at 57% because of his power and efficiency. The knockdown rate, the accuracy and defence edge, and his four-fight win streak drive it, along with a slightly higher Elo (1599 to 1584). Holland's reach and durability keep it close, but he has been knocked out twice and submitted three times. The market is at 61% for Medic, within a few points of us, so there's no real disagreement. Medic's 11 UFC fights are a decent but smaller sample than Holland's.
Key question: can Holland use his reach to keep Medic at the end of his punches, or does Medic close the distance and land the power shots?
Written by AI from the numbers below; it has no access to news or injuries.
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Tale of the tape (UFC fights only)
| Kevin Holland | Uros Medic | |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record | 16-12 | 8-3 |
| Rating (Elo) | 1584 | 1599 |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 4.53 | 4.79 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 3.62 | 3.47 |
| Striking accuracy | 48% | 56% |
| Striking defence | 50% | 56% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 0.85 | 0.60 |
| Takedown defence | 58% | 59% |
| Submission attempts / 15 min | 0.63 | 0.13 |
| Knockdowns / 15 min | 0.34 | 2.43 |
| Finish rate | 38% | 65% |
| Streak | W1 | W4 |
| Days since last fight | 218 | 106 |
| Age | 34 | 34 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'1" |
| Reach | 81" | 71" |
Rates for fighters with few UFC fights are blended toward league averages. The pick is logged with a timestamp before the event and graded on the track record, win or lose.