Jose Delano 1 UFC fight
Murtazali Magomedov 1 UFC fight
Jose Delano vs Murtazali Magomedov prediction
UFC Vegas 124 · Saturday, November 7, 2026. Our model gives Murtazali Magomedov a 55% chance to win.
Breakdown
Both men have just one UFC fight, so the numbers below come from a small sample and are blended toward league averages. They shouldn't be read as real profiles. On the page, Delano is the more active striker at 5.22 significant strikes landed per minute against 3.35 for Magomedov, with better accuracy (58% to 48%) and defence (64% to 59%). Magomedov brings the grappling: 2.12 takedowns per 15 minutes to Delano's 0.65, 1.38 submission attempts per 15 minutes, and a 22% control share against 11%. Magomedov also carries the higher finish rate at 50%. Reach is even at 70 inches, Magomedov is an inch taller and nearly three years younger.
Our model leans Magomedov at 55%, a modest edge. The drivers are his grappling output, his finishing numbers, and a slightly higher Elo (1529 to 1521). Delano's takedown defence of 73% against Magomedov's 65% accuracy-adjusted threat keeps this close. The market sees it the other way, with Delano at 52%, a gap of seven points, so the disagreement is small. With so little UFC data on either man, treat this lean as low confidence.
Key question: can Delano's cleaner striking keep the fight standing, or does Magomedov's wrestling drag it to the mat?
Written by AI from the numbers below; it has no access to news or injuries.
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Tale of the tape (UFC fights only)
| Jose Delano | Murtazali Magomedov | |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Rating (Elo) | 1521 | 1529 |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 5.22 | 3.35 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 3.88 | 3.22 |
| Striking accuracy | 58% | 48% |
| Striking defence | 64% | 59% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 0.65 | 2.12 |
| Takedown defence | 73% | 65% |
| Submission attempts / 15 min | 0.25 | 1.38 |
| Knockdowns / 15 min | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| Finish rate | 17% | 50% |
| Streak | W1 | W1 |
| Days since last fight | 217 | 140 |
| Age | 30 | 27 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'9" |
| Reach | 70" | 70" |
Rates for fighters with few UFC fights are blended toward league averages. The pick is logged with a timestamp before the event and graded on the track record, win or lose.