Nina Milosevic 1 UFC fight
Priscila Cachoeira 14 UFC fights
Nina Milosevic vs Priscila Cachoeira prediction
UFC Vegas 124 · Saturday, November 7, 2026. Our model gives Nina Milosevic a 82% chance to win.
Breakdown
Milosevic brings a cleaner striking profile into this one. She lands 3.77 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.35, with 63% defence, while Cachoeira lands a bit more at 4.23 but absorbs 7.00 with just 46% defence. Wrestling is a minor factor: neither woman takes down much or controls the clock, and their takedown defence is nearly identical at 71% and 69%. Cachoeira has been submitted five times in 14 UFC fights, so any grappling Milosevic does attempt carries real finishing risk. Cachoeira is 38 and on a three-fight losing streak, and Milosevic is eight years younger.
Our model gives Milosevic 82%, and the market is almost the same at 81%, so there is no real disagreement. The drivers are the gap in striking differential, Cachoeira's poor defence and heavy damage absorbed, and her loss streak, set against Milosevic's higher Elo of 1522 to 1450. One caution: Milosevic has only one UFC fight, so her rates are heavily blended toward league averages and are a small sample, not a settled profile.
Key question: can Cachoeira's volume offset her defensive leaks, or does Milosevic simply out-land her and find a finish?
Written by AI from the numbers below; it has no access to news or injuries.
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Tale of the tape (UFC fights only)
| Nina Milosevic | Priscila Cachoeira | |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record | 1-0 | 5-9 |
| Rating (Elo) | 1522 | 1450 |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 3.77 | 4.23 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 3.35 | 7.00 |
| Striking accuracy | 49% | 44% |
| Striking defence | 63% | 46% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 1.04 | 0.47 |
| Takedown defence | 71% | 69% |
| Submission attempts / 15 min | 0.40 | 0.06 |
| Knockdowns / 15 min | 1.00 | 0.36 |
| Finish rate | 50% | 28% |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Days since last fight | 98 | 154 |
| Age | 30 | 38 |
| Height | — | 5'7" |
| Reach | — | 65" |
Rates for fighters with few UFC fights are blended toward league averages. The pick is logged with a timestamp before the event and graded on the track record, win or lose.